Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3461 LANDED 2:35 PM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3461 · PHX → OKC

took off 10:56 AM MT · landed 2:35 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3461 · PHX → OKC

Odds over time