WN 3468 · PHX → PDX

departs 12:05 PM MT · arrives 2:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3468 · PHX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?