Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 3470 · RSW → PIT
departs 4:45 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.