WN 3490 · MSY → LAX

departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 10:47 PM PT

Your aircraft is N214WN (B737), coming in as WN 3474 from HOU: landed 7:36 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

LAX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3490 · MSY → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?