WN 3542 · PVD → MCO

departs 5:13 AM ET · arrives 8:12 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ PVD is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from PVD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.08 in

MCO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3542 · PVD → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?