Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3560 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:51 PM CT, ETA 1:59 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3560 · AUS → RNO

took off 12:51 PM CT · expected to land 1:59 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into RNO at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3560 · AUS → RNO

Odds over time