Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3583 LANDED 11:28 AM PT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

WN 3583 · LGB → RNO

took off 10:26 AM PT · landed 11:28 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ LGB is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Arrivals into RNO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3583 · LGB → RNO

Odds over time