WN 3607 · RIC → BWI

departs 6:15 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from RIC are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BWI that day

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3607 · RIC → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?