WN 369 · HOU → AUS

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.03 in

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 369 · HOU → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?