Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3709
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 3709 · TPA → PVD
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PVD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.11 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.