Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3782 LANDED 6:10 AM CT, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3782 · SFO → MDW

took off 12:40 AM PT · landed 6:10 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3782 · SFO → MDW

Odds over time