Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3802 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3802 · SJC → DEN

departs 6:19 AM PT · arrives 9:16 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3802 · SJC → DEN

Odds over time