Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4049 LANDED 12:33 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 4049 · STL → CLE

took off 10:27 AM CT · landed 12:33 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4049 · STL → CLE

Odds over time