Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4386 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 4386 · DEN → COS

departs 9:08 AM MT · arrives 9:28 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Arrivals into COS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4386 · DEN → COS

Odds over time