Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4392
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 4392 · HOU → LGA
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.