WN 4435 · MDW → SLC

departs 9:20 PM CT · arrives 11:38 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4435 · MDW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?