Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4480
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 4480 · DEN → LGA
departs 5:15 PM MT · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 69%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.