WN 4587 · DAL → BUR

departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:57 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4587 · DAL → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?