Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4662
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 4662 · MSY → HOU
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.20 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.