WN 4708 · PHX → DAL

departs 6:31 PM MT · arrives 11:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4708 · PHX → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?