Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 4795 · HOU → PNS
departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 1:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.