Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4849
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 4849 · BWI → GRR
departs 12:25 PM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 433 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip none
GRR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.