WN 4895 · HOU → ELP

departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 9:15 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ELP is prone to delays

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4895 · HOU → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?