Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4949
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 4949 · MSY → ATL
departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 5:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 73%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.26 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.