Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 497 LANDED 2:49 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 497 · PVD → MCO

took off 12:12 AM ET · landed 2:49 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 497 · PVD → MCO

Odds over time