Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 510 · ECP → HOU
departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 12:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6.66667 mi Precip 1.95 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.