WN 532 · AUS → SEA

departs 3:40 PM CT · arrives 5:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 532 · AUS → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?