WN 556 · EUG → SAN

departs 1:10 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from EUG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 556 · EUG → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?