WN 559 · MSY → LGA

departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 1:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from MSY are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.20 in

LGA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 559 · MSY → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?