Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 588 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 588 · PHX → SNA

departs 9:08 PM MT · arrives 9:59 PM PT

Your aircraft is N499WN (B737), coming in as WN 1490 from BNA: landed 8:06 PM MT.

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 588 · PHX → SNA

Odds over time