WN 645 · STL → DTW

departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 12:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 645 · STL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?