WN 657 · AUS → MSY

departs 10:05 AM CT · arrives 11:39 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MSY that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,233 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 657 · AUS → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?