Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 736
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 736 · BOS → BWI
departs 10:15 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
10pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.04 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.