Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 738 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 738 · SAN → PDX

departs 10:18 AM PT · arrives 12:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from SAN are often late

↑ SAN is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 738 · SAN → PDX

Odds over time