WN 785 · AUS → ELP

departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 11:44 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ELP is prone to delays

↑ AUS is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 785 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?