Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 856 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 856 · BUR → PHX

departs 10:55 AM PT · arrives 11:57 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 856 · BUR → PHX

Odds over time