WN 884 · STL → CHS

departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from STL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 884 · STL → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?