Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 950 · AUS → HRL
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 71h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.3 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HRL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.