Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

VOLARIS · FLIGHT Y4 7800 LANDED 11:53 AM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

Y4 7800 · MLM → SJC

took off · landed 11:53 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

MLM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 7800 · MLM → SJC

Odds over time