Y4 7842 · AGU → MDW

departs 11:40 AM CST · arrives 4:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AGU

Weather at each end

AGU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 7842 · AGU → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?