Y4 7961 · SLP → SAT

departs 4:52 PM CST · arrives 7:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLP

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLP (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 7961 · SLP → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?