Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4048 LANDED 8:39 AM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

YV 4048 · IAH → MAF

took off 7:33 AM CT · landed 8:39 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MAF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 4048 · IAH → MAF

Odds over time