Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6322 LANDED 3:50 PM CT, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

YV 6322 · IAH → MAF

took off 2:48 PM CT · landed 3:50 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MAF that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MAF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6322 · IAH → MAF

Odds over time