Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3443
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 3443 · RDU → EWR
departs 12:40 PM ET · arrives 2:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±8 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
RDU is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at EWR that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.