YX 3448 · MKE → EWR

departs 11:34 AM CT · arrives 3:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at EWR that day

↑ 11am departures from MKE are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3448 · MKE → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?