Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3573 LANDED 7:56 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

YX 3573 · EWR → PWM

took off 7:03 PM ET · landed 7:56 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

PWM (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3573 · EWR → PWM

Odds over time