Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3620
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
YX 3620 · PWM → EWR
departs 3:46 PM ET · arrives 5:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±14 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,367 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.