Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3673 LANDED 10:43 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

YX 3673 · EWR → CVG

took off 9:14 PM ET · landed 10:43 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

CVG (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3673 · EWR → CVG

Odds over time