Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3701
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 3701 · BGR → EWR
departs 11:46 AM ET · arrives 1:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
BGR is prone to delays
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.05 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.