Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4342
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
YX 4342 · AVL → LGA
departs 3:58 PM ET · arrives 5:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±11 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.